Harden

Indicator: Population

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What the results tell us for Harden

Harden Shire remains relatively static with only a small percentage fall in growth observed. According to the 2006 Census there were 3,725 residents in the Shire with an estimated 3,683 in 2007. Since the end of the previous State of the Environment Reporting period, the population of the Shire is estimated to have fallen by 0.6% or 35 persons.

Compared with New South Wales (NSW), Harden Shire has a higher aged population, a comparative Indigenous population and a small increase in the proportion of persons born overseas which is similar to the level observed for the State as a whole. Along with many other jurisdictions in Australia, Council will need to consider the impacts of an ageing population on its economy, and infrastructure.

The composition of households has continued the trend noted in the 2004 report with a further reduction in the number of households comprising couples with children and a consequent increase in couples without children and also lone person households. These are similar to trends observed in other councils. Harden’s Social Plan is committed to addressing these issues.

Population is stable but growing in age

The population in Harden Shire was 3,725 at the 2006 Census (Table 1). Based on the latest available Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) figures (2008), it can be seen that the population fell by only 35 persons since 2004. This represents an annual average negative rate of growth of -0.6% for the period, compared with 0.7% average for the Australian Capital Region for the period, and 0.8% for NSW. Compared with all local government areas across the State, the Shire ranked 132 out of 149 for the fastest growth and 128 out of 152 for the largest growth. Figure 1 illustrates the population for the years 2004 to 2007, showing the annual estimated residential population at 30 June for each year.

Table 1. Estimated population in Harden Shire for 2004 to 2007
2004 2005 2006 2007 Population Change2004-2007
3,718 3,710 3,725 3,683 -35 (-0.6 % p.a.)

See About the data for Australian Bureau of Statistics comments on years 2001-2007; Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Catalogue No. 3218.0 (2008)

Figure 1. Population growth, Harden Shire, 2004 to 2007

Figure 1. Population growth, Harden Shire, 2004 to 2007

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Catalogue No. 3218.0 (2008)

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Since the 2004 report, Harden Shire has experienced a fall in population but the population demographic is continuing the trend of decreasing youth and increasing middle and older persons. The decreasing youth was noted in the last report but has now decreased a further 2.7% since 2001 and 3.8% compared to the 1996 level. The “middle” age group increased by 0.1% (1996-2006) as opposed to the increase of 0.69% in the earlier 10 year period. The proportion of the population aged 65+ increased by 2.8% compared with the 2.3% increase during the earlier period. The median age as at 2006 was 44 years in Harden Shire compared with the State median of 37 years. In 2001 the median was 40 with 35 for the State, and in 1996, 37 and 34 years respectively. Percentages and figures are illustrated in Table 2.

These trends are similar to those evident in other Shires in the Region and will have resultant impacts on the Shire’s healthcare, social, economic and transport needs into the future.

Table 2. Population by age, Harden Shire, Census years 1996 to 2006
Age 1996 2001 2006
No. % No. % No. %
<15 years 889 23.6 841 22.5 692 19.8
15–64 years 2,307 61.1 2,278 61.0 2,129 60.9
65+ years 577 15.3 616 16.5 673 19.3
Totals 3,773 100 3,735 100 3,494 100

See About the data for Australian Bureau of Statistics comments on this table; Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2006 Time Series Profile Catalogue No. 2003.0

Ethnicity and diversity

Gender

Harden Shire’s population as at the 2006 Census was split 49.6% male and 50.4% female. Compared with the gender distribution for NSW (49.3% males to 50.7% females), the Shire’s population mirrors the trend observed in the State and other areas. See Figures 2 and 3 for a comparison of the gender and age distribution for the Shire and NSW respectively.

Figure 2. Age and sex distribution, Harden Shire, 2006

Figure 2. Age and sex distribution, Harden Shire, 2006

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2006 Time Series Profile Catalogue No. 2003.0

 

Figure 3. Age and sex distribution, New South Wales, 2006

Source of data: Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2006 Time Series Profile Catalogue No. 2003.0

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Origins

In 2006, 91.4% of Harden Shire’s non-Indigenous residents were born in Australia, compared with 91.6% in 2001 and 92.9% in 1996 (Table 3). By comparison, NSW has experienced a drop of about 1% between Censuses (1996, 2001, 2006). The proportion of Indigenous population for the Shire has increased since the last report to 3.2% from 2.7% in 2001 and 2.1% in 1996. This remains a higher percentage compared with the rest of the State (2.2%) in 2006. The “Born overseas” group has reduced by 0.3% to 5.4% in the 2006 Census from 5.7% in 2001 compared with the gradual increase (0.65%) in proportion experienced by NSW.

Table 3. Population origins in Harden Shire, Census years 1996 to 2006

Origin 1996 Census 2001 Census 2006 Census
No. % No. % No. %
Indigenous persons 77 2.1 98 2.7 112 3.2
Born in Australia 3,447 92.9 3,315 91.6 3,148 91.4
Born overseas (a) 188 5.0 205 5.7 186 5.4
Total 3,712 100 3,618 100 3,446 100

See About the data for notes on (a); Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2006 Time Series Profile Catalogue No. 2003.0

Households and family type

In 2006, 67.6% of Shire residents lived in one-family households consisting of 28.5% couples with children, 30.1% couples with no children and 8.2% were one-parent families. About 28.8% of the population consisted of lone person households. (Table 4). The group with the most significant percentage drop was the “Couple family with children” group, having fallen by 2.2% since the 1996 Census whereas the percentage of households occupied by “Lone person households” rose by 5%. This may reflect an increase in family breakdown as the population in the family-aged demographic has not increased. The Social Plan should explore these patterns further and identify whether there are emerging social planning issues for the Shire.

Table 4. Household composition (a) and family composition (b) in Harden Shire, Census years 1996, 2001 and 2006
Household composition 1996 Census 2001 Census 2006 Census
Dwellings % Dwellings % Dwellings %
One family household:
Couple family with children 521 36.1 446 30.7 410 28.5
Couple family without children 372 25.7 413 28.4 433 30.1
One parent family 123 8.5 138 9.5 118 8.2
Other family 18 1.3 22 1.5 12 0.8
Total 1,034 71.6 1,019 70.1 973 67.6
Miscellaneous households:
Group household 27 1.9 35 2.4 17 1.2
Lone person household 364 25.2 346 23.8 414 28.8
Other household (c) 20 1.4 54 3.7 33 2.3
Total 1,445 100 1,454 100 1,437 100

For notes on (a), (b) and (c) see About the data; Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2006 Time Series Profile, Catalogue No. 2003.0

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Where people are working and what they are earning

The agriculture, forestry and fishing sector is the highest employer as at the 2006 Census at 30.8% although falling 3.1% since the 2001 Census. This fall is expected due to the affects of the drought in this region and the State experienced similar decline (0.7%). This emphasises the significance of this sector to the Harden Shire.

The retail trade sector is the next highest employer with 8.5% in 2006, an increase of 2.3% since 2001. The health care and social assistance sector represented 7.9% of the workforce in 2006 which is an increase of 1.3% since 2001.

The wholesale trade sector has had the largest decrease with the number of persons employed in that sector falling by more than half from the 2001 Census from 99 to 43 persons or 3.7%. However it’s important to note that the higher figure observed in 2001 was itself a doubling of the 1996 Census figure so the 2006 levels of employment in this sector are a return to the 1996 level.

Table 5. Industry types in Harden Shire, Census years 1996, 2001 and 2006
Industry of employment (a) 1996 Census 2001 Census 2006 Census
Persons % Persons % Persons %
Agriculture, forestry & fishing 453 32.1 513 34.1 452 30.8
Mining 13 0.9 12 0.8 12 0.8
Manufacturing 80 5.7 90 6.0 86 5.9
Electricity, gas, water & waste services 17 1.2 18 1.2 19 1.3
Construction 57 4.0 61 4.0 59 4.0
Wholesale trade 46 3.3 99 6.6 43 2.9
Retail trade 112 8.0 93 6.2 124 8.5
Accommodation & food services 68 4.8 73 4.8 67 4.6
Transport, postal & warehousing 99 7.0 100 6.6 107 7.3
Information media & telecommunications 11 0.8 8 0.5 5 0.3
Financial & insurance services 26 1.8 37 2.5 26 1.8
Rental, hiring & real estate services 10 0.7 8 0.5 10 0.7
Professional, scientific & technical services 37 2.6 35 2.3 41 2.8
Administrative & support services 22 1.6 24 1.6 29 2.0
Public administration & safety 53 3.7 49 3.3 61 4.2
Education & training 109 7.7 96 6.4 103 7.0
Health care & social assistance 104 7.4 100 6.6 116 7.9
Arts & recreation services 3 0.2 8 0.5 9 0.6
Other services 41 2.9 40 2.7 65 4.4
Inadequately described/Not stated 51 3.6 41 2.7 32 2.2
Total 1,412 100 1,505 100 1,466 100

For notes on (a) see About the data; Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2006 Time Series Profile, Catalogue No. 2003.0

The Median Individual Income for the Harden Shire as at 30 June 2006 was $357 per week compared with $460 for NSW, and the Median Household Income was $659 ($1,034 for the state).

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About the data

Data for this indicator were sourced from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

Data for Table 1— Estimated Residential Population Australian Bureau of Statistics Catalogue No. 3218.0. Years 2004-2006 are preliminary rebased figures, whereas 2007 figures are preliminary. The figure for 2004 was only preliminary at the time of writing the 2004 State of the Environment Report, therefore it has now been revised. As explained in the Extract from Explanatory Notes, Australian Bureau of Statistics—Catalogue No. 3218.0 (2008), ‘To meet the conflicting demands for accuracy and timeliness there are several versions of sub-state/territory population estimates. Preliminary estimates are normally available nine months after the reference date (i.e. March), revised estimates twelve months later and rebased and final estimates after the following census.' Estimated population is preliminary rebased for 2002 to 2006, based on results of the 2006 Census of Population and Housing, and preliminary for 2007. At the time of writing, final 2006 Census-based estimates for 2002 to 2006, together with the first revision of 2007 were not yet available.

Data for Table 2 – Selected Person Characteristics: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Time Series Profile (T01), Catalogue No. 2003.0, Commonwealth of Australia, 2006.

Data for Table 3 – Selected Person Characteristics: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Time Series Profile (T01), Catalogue No. 2003.0, Commonwealth of Australia, 2006, (a) Includes 'Australian External Territories', 'Inadequately described', 'At sea' and 'Not elsewhere classified'.

Data for Table 4 —Dwelling Structure by Household Composition and Family Composition: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Time Series Profile (T14), Catalogue No. 2003.0, Commonwealth of Australia, 2006 (a) The 'Household Composition' variable replaced 'Household Type', which was used in 1996 and 2001; (b) The 'Family Composition' variable replaced 'Family Type', which was used in 1996 and 2001; (c) Comprises 'Visitors only' and 'Other not classifiable' households.

Data for Table 5 — Industry types in Harden Shire: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Time Series Profile (T25), Catalogue No. 2003.0, Commonwealth of Australia, 2006. (a) Industry of employment was coded to the 2006 Australian and New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification (ANZSIC) edition. This has replaced the 1993 ANZSIC edition.

Population density is calculated by dividing the estimated residential population at 2004 into the size of the whole council area minus conservation lands and state forests because few, if any, people live in those areas of land use.

References

Australian Bureau of Statistics (2007) Regional Population Growth, Australia, 1996 to 2006, Catalogue No. 3218.0 — ‘Estimated Residential Population—30 June ', Commonwealth of Australia, http://www.abs.gov.au/

Australian Bureau of Statistics (2008) Regional Population Growth, Australia, 2006-07, Catalogue No. 3218.0 — ‘Population Estimates by Local Government Area, 2001 to 2007 — 30 June', Commonwealth of Australia, http://www.abs.gov.au/

Australian Bureau of Statistics (2006) Time Series Profile, Catalogue No. 2003.0, Commonwealth of Australia, http://www.abs.gov.au/

 

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